A new analysis using COVID-19 death data from Italy projects that the fatality rate in New York City can be no less than 0.5, or one out of every 200 infected people. The researchers, from UC Berkeley and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, also estimated, based on the predicted fatality rate, that roughly a quarter of New York City's population has been infected, and that about 26 percent of all COVID-19 deaths in New York will be among people who are younger than 65. "Our observation suggests COVID-19 kills the weakest segments of the population," says physics and astronomy professor Uros Seljak, the study's senior author. "Some of my colleagues think that we have been overly conservative, which might be true," he adds. "We have just accounted for the people who have died up until today, but people are still dying." For more on this, see our press release at Berkeley News.